In this Mauldin Economics' Global Macro Update, George Friedman analyzes Ukraine-Russia settlement talks with host Ed D'Agostino. Discover why Saudi Arabia is hosting negotiations, NATO's diminishing ...

Beijing’s backing. China welcomes the “recent consensus” reached between the U.S. and Russia on ending the war in Ukraine, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Xi said at a summit of the G20 in Johannesburg.

NATO states near Russia view Ukraine’s defense as essential to their own security, and the aid data bears this out. For the Baltic states, for instance, helping Ukraine is not just good politics – it ...

The reports surrounding the Ukraine peace talks in Saudi Arabia held between the United States and Russia – but not Ukraine – suggest a reconciliation is underway. On Feb. 19, Russian Foreign Minister ...

Growing concerns. European officials are concerned that the U.S.-Russia negotiations that began in Riyadh this week could lead to a withdrawal of U.S. forces from Europe, according to a report by ...

The U.S. labor market is in long-term decline. Labor force participation stands at 62.6 percent, failing to return to pre-pandemic levels despite a strong economic recovery. The trend seems likely to ...

The United States is overhauling its entire foreign policy. In this new approach, Washington expects allies (as opposed to the United States) to take primary responsibility for managing their regions.

There may be more than meets the eye behind U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s recent visit to El Salvador. Headlines focused on the common themes used to frame U.S. interests in Central America – ...

Future of Russia sanctions. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio reassured his European counterparts on Tuesday that Washington would not consider lifting sanctions on Moscow until a peace deal is ...

Protests in Serbia continued over the weekend, more than three months after they started. The demonstrations, primarily led by students, were sparked by the collapse of a newly reconstructed canopy at ...

Investments in the U.S. Taiwan is reportedly in talks on a multibillion-dollar deal to purchase arms from the United States, hoping to curry favor with the Trump administration and demonstrate its ...

At its heart, Geopolitical Futures is a forecasting company. But before we forecast, we analyze. And before we analyze, we speculate. We rarely publish our speculations, because they are ultimately ...