Kalshi and Polymarket say their prediction markets are not subject to gambling laws and taxes. The casino industry is ...

A FAULT in HMRC’s online state pension forecast tool has wrongly overstated payments for up to 800,000 people. The blunder ...

Hundreds of thousands of workers may be in for a nasty surprise when they retire, due to an issue in the Government's own ...

It now appears that up to 800,000 users may have been shown figures that were too generous, leaving some believing they were on course for the full state pension when they were not.

Abstract: Despite the high standard of forecast regarding electricity consumption, forecast errors are inevitable in a predictive excercise. These errors are not time-independent noise, since they are ...

Spot Gold changed direction on Thursday, trimming a good chunk of its recent gains. The XAU/USD pair trades around $4,880 in ...

FILE - The crowd watches the festivities while waiting for Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, to come ...

The Met Office will introduce 14-day weather forecasts in the coming months after conceding the public “can understand” the potential for error in longer-term predictions. At present, a seven-day ...

LayerZero (ZRO) is under pressure from the broader cryptocurrency market sell-off, recording a 7% loss at press time on Friday. The cross-chain messaging layer retains on-chain and retail demand, as ...

Abstract: This paper introduces a stacking ensemble as a correction model that reduces forecast errors of a day-ahead photovoltaic (PV) power forecast by ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research study found the prediction site showed “statistically significant improvement” over ...

WRAL meteorologists Elizabeth Gardner and Grant Skinner break down the ingredients of predictive weather models, explaining why they sometimes contradict one another, and how WRAL meteorologists use ...