Geopolitical events and related uncertainties have contributed to choppy commodity and financial markets, but S&P Global’s ...

Economic forecasts tend to be unreliable. The news is fast paced, and predictions can quickly grow stale. But there’s still something to be gained. Lao Tzu, the 6th century Chinese poet, wrote, “Those ...

Forecasting a central scenario for the U.S. economy in 2026 appears to be a straightforward exercise. But the probability that this baseline forecast would materialize probably does not exceed 50%: ...

New analysis explains why Prosper’s macro forecasts often signal economic shifts weeks or months before prediction ...

The Fed paper found that Kalshi's markets provide data that's "valuable to both researchers and policymakers." ...

Scott Bessent outlines a 3.5% GDP outlook for 2026, reshaping expectations for U.S. economic growth ...

It’s that time of year for economists to emerge and present their economic forecasts. Some say it’s like the economic version of Groundhog Day. Will economists see the light of a good year ahead or ...

This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. The overall economy impacts small businesses, but particular impacts might be different for ...

United National Secretary-General Antonio Guterres attended an event to mark the end of the U.N. political mission in Baghdad, Iraq, Saturday, Dec. 13, 2025. (AP ...

Fourth-quarter GDP grows 2.5% year-on-year, topping 1.0% forecast; Quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.9% is fastest pace in four ...

Lack of housing and affordable child care are shrinking Marin County’s labor force. Experts at a large gathering Feb. 18 of ...